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1godir.info, Betmockers, India-Bet, The Big Toss, Yahoo Predictopus and PlayUp India are among tech firms and startups that have. A Yahoo! Cricket chrome extension for live scores, match updates, news, photos, . Predictalot goes East: Introducing Predictopus for the ICC Cricket World Cup Cricket software downloads, the world&#;s up to date free downloads. New dating app, Donald Daters, wants to 'Make America date again.' The college student is hopeful that the results of her survey will make dating less.

One of the few aspects of my job I enjoy more than designing a new market is actually building it. Turning some wild concept that sprung from the minds of a bunch of scientists into a working artifact is a huge rush, and I can only smile as people from around the world commence tinkering with the thing, often in ways I never expected. In that vein, I am thrilled to announce the beta launch of PredictWiseQa fully operational example of our latest combinatorial prediction market design: PredictWiseQ is our greedy attempt to scarf up as much information as is humanly Predictopus yahoo dating and use it, wisely, to forecast nearly every possible detail about the upcoming US presidential election.

For example, we can project how likely it is that Romney will win Colorado but lose the election 6. Your actions help inform the odds of your own predictions and, crucially, thousands of other related predictions at the same time. For example, a bet on Obama Predictopus yahoo dating win both Ohio and Florida can automatically raise his odds of winning Ohio alone.

After every trade, we find and fix thousands of these logical inconsistencies. In other words, our market maker identifies and cleans up arbitrage wherever it finds it. So we clean up a good bit of arbitrage, but there should be plenty left.

Our goal is to elicit information. Even a completely uninformed trader can profit from arbitrage via a mechanical plug-and-chug process. We should reserve the spoils for people who provide good information, not those armed solely with fast or clever algorithms. Moreover, we want every little crumb of information that Predictopus yahoo dating get, in whatever form we get it, to immediately impact as many of the thousands or millions of predictions that it relates Predictopus yahoo dating as possible.

Intrade offers an impressive array of predictions about the election, including who will win in all fifty states.

In a sense, PredictWiseQ is Intrade to the 57th power. In a combinatorial marketa prediction can be any Boolean Predictopus yahoo dating of the state outcomes, an ungodly Predictopus yahoo dating of flexibility.

The number of possible predictions is the number of sets of outcomes, or 2 to the power quadrillion. Create your own league to compare your political WiseQ among friends. PredictWiseQ is part of PredictWisea fascinating startup of its own. Predictopus yahoo dating by my colleague David RothschildPredictWise is the place to go for thousands of Predictopus yahoo dating, real-time predictions on politics, sports, finance, and entertainment, aggregated and curated from around the web.

The academic paper that PredictWiseQ is based on is one of my favorites — owed in large part to my coauthors Miro Predictopus yahoo dating Sebastientwo incredible sciengineers. As is often the case, the theory looks bulletproof on paper. Or more accurately, until you build it and let a crowd of other people try it. So, dear crowd, please try it! Predictopus yahoo dating please tell me how you did, so we might fix it. Tell me Predictopus yahoo dating you like and what is horribly wrong.

Mostly, have fun playing a market that I believe represents the future Predictopus yahoo dating markets in the post-CDA eraa.

In lateI began talking to a very early-stage startup named Slipjockeybased in Salt Lake City. When we first started corresponding, Slipjockey was little more than a good idea coupled Predictopus yahoo dating some very basic technology and passionate co-founders.

In the time since, Slipjockey has taken appropriate steps to bring their concept to market, including securing a favorable legal opinion and filing a patent for their technology. The core concept of Slipjockey is ingenious.

The process starts when someone makes a bet at a licensed Nevada race and sports book. If he or she wants to sell the bet slip for whatever reason — suppose the predicted team is winning in a landslide at halftime and the slip has doubled in value — they can log onto Slipjockey and list it for sale.

Another Slipjockey user Predictopus yahoo dating agree to buy it. The buyer takes ownership of Predictopus yahoo dating bet slip and he or she can keep it or resell it again to another Slipjockey user, etc.

The final owner of any bet slip is paid in full directly from the sports book that originally issued Predictopus yahoo dating ticket. Real-time trading on Slipjockey is similar to the action on betting exchanges like Betfair. The key difference is that all wagers must originate from a licensed Nevada race and sports book where gambling Predictopus yahoo dating legal. The Slipjockey business concept grew from the notion that handicappers should have an option other that win, lose, or push.

Slipjockey provides that fourth option by enabling handicappers to terminate their outcome risk, locking in a gain or avoiding a total loss prior to the end of the event. Initially, Slipjockey is focused on launching with coverage of US football, tennis, and golf before expanding into other sports. They are smart, well spoken, and tireless entrepreneurs. I have every expectation that, to the extent this idea has Predictopus yahoo dating — and I believe Predictopus yahoo dating does — they will make it fly.

As a pre-condition to launching, he secured a legal opinion from a former Nevada Gaming Control Board attorney that says, in effect, that because bets originate in Las Vegas and are ultimately paid out in Las Vegas, the Slipjockey exchange is legal. But it is convincing and credible.

Certainly Slipjockey users are safe. Currently, Slipjockey is inviting users to participate in a soft launch for trading National Football League games. To participate, create a profile at www. What stands out is the flashy UI, both literally and figuratively.

The look is polished, slick, refreshing, and richly drawn. Like I said, Flash-y in every way. The game is well Predictopus yahoo dating into Facebook and nicely incorporates trophies and other social rewards.

Clearly a lot of thought and care went into the design: Crowdpark is a German company with an office in San Francisco. In addition to Predictopus yahoo dating Facebook game, they have German and English web versions of their game, and white-label arrangements with gaming companies.

They launched in English just last December. With every other market maker, indeed almost every prediction market, the profit is fixed at the time of the bet. Add to that the fact that Crowdpark bought a majority stake in Florida horse racing circuit Saratoga Racing Inc. I found a trade press paper on internal prediction markets he wrote in for the Journal of Business Forecasting. Traditional sportsbooks stop taking bets when the sporting event in question begins. Cantor went a step further and built a mobile device you can carry around with you anywhere in the casino to place your bets while Predictopus yahoo dating games on TV, drink in hand.

Cantor also runs spread-betting operations in the UK and bought the venerable Hollywood Stock Exchange prediction market with the goal of turning it into a real financial exchange; they Predictopus yahoo dating succeededobtaining the green light from the CFTC before being shut down by lobbyists, er, Congress.

Back to the device. You can bet on the winner, Predictopus yahoo dating the spread, or on one-off propositions like whether the offensive team in an NFL game will get a first down, or whether the current drive will end with a punt, touchdown, field goal, or turnover. The interface is pretty nice.

You select the type of bet you want, see the current odds, Predictopus yahoo dating choose how much you want to bet from a menu of Predictopus yahoo dating options: When I was there only one game was available for in-running betting.

Even if you detest gambling, this should send a chill down your spine: The action exposes the lie that the US government does not control the Internet or does not exercise that control and perhaps hastens the day of a fragmented Internet.

To the hundreds of thousands who spoke out against the latter, kudos, Predictopus yahoo dating I submit that the former poses just as dangerous a slippery slope. These companies are obeying the laws of the countries in which they are based. Who are we to block them let alone seize their Internet property? More scary developments in net Predictopus yahoo dating. Cricketa site that reaches Take a look at the middle right of the second page: Times of India Mumbai edition 30 Mar Also, congrats Indiaand thanks!

I nearly doubled my virtual bet with the victory:. March Madness is upon us and Predictalotthe crazy Predictopus yahoo dating that I and others at Yahoo! Labs invented, is live again and taking your virtual bets.

Filling out brackets is so On Predictalot, you can compose your own wild prediction, like there will be exactly seven upsets in the opening roundor neither Duke, Kentucky, Kansas, nor Pittsburgh will make the Final Four. For the math geeks, Predictalot is a combinatorial prediction market with over 9 quintillion outcomes.

Prices are computed using an importance sampling approximation of a P-hard problem. What kind of information can we collect that a standard prediction market cannot? Our market can say Predictopus yahoo dating. A standard bookmaker would never dare to offer the same millions of bets as Predictalot — they would face nearly unlimited possible losses because, by tradition, each bet is managed independently.

By combining every bet into a single unified marketplace, we are able to limit the worst-case virtual loss of our market maker to a known fixed constant. It will be held in Nottingham, England April along Predictopus yahoo dating two related conferences: Abstracts also due today for both of these conferences.

Nottingham Conference Centre Organiser: They have been used to aggregate information in order to Predictopus yahoo dating forecasts of a wide range of events…. In recent years, a number of companies have employed Predictopus yahoo dating markets as a means of aggregating the information dispersed widely among their employees and customers….

Call for papers and presentations Please send an abstract maximum of words to Professor Leighton Vaughan Williams by email, by the closing date for receipt of abstracts of Monday 21 February Confirmation of receipt of abstracts will be sent within a maximum of five working days.

India team did an incredible job, leveraging the idea and some of the code base of Predictalotyet making it their own. Predictopus is not a YAP — it lives right on the Yahoo! Everything is bigger Predictopus yahoo dating India, including the crowds and the wisdom thereof.

One of the few aspects of my job I enjoy more than designing a new market is actually building it. Turning some wild concept that sprung from the minds of a bunch of scientists into a working artifact is a huge rush, and I can only smile as people from around the world commence tinkering with the thing, often in ways I never expected. In that vein, I am thrilled to announce the beta launch of PredictWiseQ , a fully operational example of our latest combinatorial prediction market design: PredictWiseQ is our greedy attempt to scarf up as much information as is humanly possible and use it, wisely, to forecast nearly every possible detail about the upcoming US presidential election.

For example, we can project how likely it is that Romney will win Colorado but lose the election 6. Your actions help inform the odds of your own predictions and, crucially, thousands of other related predictions at the same time. For example, a bet on Obama to win both Ohio and Florida can automatically raise his odds of winning Ohio alone. After every trade, we find and fix thousands of these logical inconsistencies.

In other words, our market maker identifies and cleans up arbitrage wherever it finds it.

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Musings of a computer scientist on predictions, odds, and markets

Swedish dating london We should reserve the spoils for people who Predictopus yahoo dating good information, not those armed solely with fast or clever algorithms. Oh, and one of the prizes is a Hyundai. Returning in the morning showered and caffeinated to greet the sleepwalkers was a little surreal. The firestorm was immediate and monstrous. As a pre-condition to launching, he secured a legal opinion from a former Nevada Gaming Control Board attorney that says, in effect, that because bets originate in Las Vegas and are ultimately paid out Predictopus yahoo dating Las Vegas, the Slipjockey exchange is legal. It would be as shame if some Predictopus yahoo dating the negative reactions caused him or others not to make similar bets in the future. HETALIA DATING SIM GAME DEVIANTART PHOTOSHOP 418 Machuca resumen yahoo dating The reception within Microsoft research and product orgs has been swift and very warm. All is fair in love and war, even if that includes other people's morning commute. How likely is it for Predictopus yahoo dating to come back Predictopus yahoo dating home from down runs with 10 overs left and 5 wickets lost? This morning, with Florida still undecided, Obama had secured exactly Electoral College votes. Try again and hope the fourth time is the charm? The Slipjockey business concept grew from the notion that handicappers should have an Predictopus yahoo dating other that win, lose, or push.

My blog has been hacked yet again. This latest exploit is very similar to the previous one. To humans arriving via browser e. Actually even if you run 'curl http: The effect of the attack is a kind of reverse cloaking. Cloaking is the black-hat SEO practice of serving legitimate content to crawlers and spam content to people. Here, the spam content is shown to the crawlers and the legitimate content to the people.

You can hardly find any deep links into my blog by searching Google. The only benefit to anyone is to remove one relatively obscure blog from the search engine rankings and thus to move the attacker one slot up.

So what should I do?

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